World Cup '26
← The Daily
Group HMatch 64
Uruguay
vsScheduled
Spain
Saturday, June 27, 20268:00 PM EDT12:00 AM UTCEstadio Akron, Guadalajara

Prediction

21%Draw 26%53%
21%

Uruguay

26%

Draw

53%

Spain

Expected goals 1.071.81

Analyst note

Spain are favoured at 53% with a 1.81-1.07 xG advantage, though Uruguay's 21% win chance and the 26% draw keep an upset live.
Cup ’26 Model · AI insight

Scoreline distribution

Uruguay goalsSpain goals →
0123450
7
9
9
6
3
1
1
5
12
10
6
3
1
2
3
6
5
3
1
1
3
1
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0

Cells show probability (%). Gold outline = most likely scoreline.

Recent form

Uruguay

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Spain

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