World Cup '26
← The Daily
Group IMatch 61
Norway
vsScheduled
France
Friday, June 26, 20263:00 PM EDT7:00 PM UTCGillette Stadium, Boston

Prediction

12%Draw 21%67%
12%

Norway

21%

Draw

67%

France

Expected goals 0.852.18

Analyst note

France are heavy favourites at 67% with a commanding 2.18-0.85 xG advantage; Norway's 12% win chance leaves them needing a major shock.
Cup ’26 Model · AI insight

Scoreline distribution

Norway goalsFrance goals →
0123450
6
10
12
9
5
2
1
3
10
10
7
4
2
2
2
4
4
3
2
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0

Cells show probability (%). Gold outline = most likely scoreline.

Recent form

Norway

  • W41vs Iraq

France

  • W31vs Senegal