World Cup '26
← The Daily
Group DMatch 60
Paraguay
vsScheduled
Australia
Friday, June 26, 202610:00 PM EDT2:00 AM UTCLevi's Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area

Prediction

29%Draw 29%42%
29%

Paraguay

29%

Draw

42%

Australia

Expected goals 1.181.46

Analyst note

Australia hold the edge at 42% to Paraguay's 29% but the tight 1.46-1.18 xG split and matching 29% draw odds point to a close, low-scoring contest.
Cup ’26 Model · AI insight

Scoreline distribution

Paraguay goalsAustralia goals →
0123450
9
9
8
4
1
0
1
7
14
9
4
2
0
2
5
7
5
3
1
0
3
2
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0

Cells show probability (%). Gold outline = most likely scoreline.

Recent form

Paraguay

  • L14vs USA

Australia

  • W20vs Turkey